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                               "BERNIE & HILLARY"

In the 2016 presidential race, Democrats have a lot to look forward to. Both Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton have run fairly capable campaigns, each relatively tame in tone by comparison to what’s going on in the Republican race, or even the 2008 primary between Clinton and Barack Obama. The conventional wisdom is that either one would be well-positioned to take on Donald Trump in November.

But Democrats shouldn’t think that facing Trump in the general election would be cakewalk. The billionaire is patching together large parts of the fractured Republican coalition in a way that no other candidate has done since Ronald Reagan. This presents a considerable threat to either Democratic candidate.

Both Clinton and Sanders have well-defined bases, and their campaigns know it. Clinton’s center of support in this cycle has been the South, a stark contrast to her failures there against Obama in 2008. Sanders, on the other hand, is winning states where working class whites make up the biggest portion of the Democratic electorate. This isn’t a rule — Clinton’s wins in Iowa and Massachusetts and Sanders’s in Michigan prove otherwise — but both campaigns know where to focus their efforts.

In contrast, the Republican frontrunner’s success has not been so rigidly regional or demographic in nature.

Earlier this week, Trump won three out of four contests in states that look nothing alike. He has won in the reddest states, Mississippi, and he won all 50 delegates in South Carolina a few weeks ago. He’s also won in the bluest states: Massachusetts and Hawaii. He’s won in union states (Michigan) and dominated across the former Confederacy. He’s only placed third in one contest, Minnesota.

You could say this is because the Republican candidates around him have been so feckless and dumb, and you wouldn’t be wrong. Still, his complete domination of the areas that were supposed to be home turf for Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and others who already exited the race — Republicans you’d assume would be popular with the base Trump is winning — is something that hasn’t been replicated on the Democratic side.